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一 | BARCELONA, Spain -- Barcelona accountant Oriol Calvo ran afoul of the law when he was arrested in 2019 during a mass protest by supporters of Catalonia's independence from Spain that turned violent. A court found him guilty of public disorder and of aggressive behavior toward a police officer — offenses he denies. The 25-year-old is among several thousand ordinary citizens who faced legal trouble for their often tiny part in Catalonia’s illegal secession bid that brought Spain to the brink of rupture six years ago.Now Calvo hopes his conviction and those of many others will be wiped clean if Spain’s acting prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, follows through and issues a sweeping amnesty for the separatists in exchange for their movement's political parties helping him form a new government in Madrid.Calvo's sentence of 18 months was suspended since it was his first offense, but it is still a stain on his record and has affected his willingness to participate in politics. He has stopped going to rallies for independence for fears that it could complicate his legal situation. He also felt betrayed.“I became very bitter,” Calvo said. “I felt betrayed by the justice system, but also I thought about all the efforts that the movement had made in the fight to achieve independence that had gotten us nowhere.”Sánchez, who has granted pardons to several leaders of the movement in the past, says that the amnesty will be positive for Spain because it will further reduce tensions inside Catalonia. Yet no one doubts that he is doing it only out of political necessity given how divisive the Catalan independence movement is both inside Catalonia and the rest of Spain.A national election in July left no party close to an absolute majority and with Sánchez in need of the support of several smaller parties to stay in power. Those include two pro-secession Catalan parties who led the unsuccessful 2017 breakaway attempt and who now find themselves holding the key votes in Parliament that Sánchez requires. Given the chance to play kingmaker, the two separatist parties are using their leverage. They have made an amnesty law as a prerequisite for supporting Sánchez.The clock is already ticking. Sánchez has until Nov. 27 to form a government, otherwise new elections will be triggered for January.Sánchez and his center-left Socialist party have tried to keep as quiet as possible on the amnesty question, but the leader has acknowledged that talks are on-going with the Catalan parties, including one led by the fugitive former regional leader of Catalonia, Carles Puigdemont, who fled Spain for Belgium after his dream to carve out a new state in northeast Spain collapsed.Spain’s courts are still trying to have Puigdemont extradited. Given that Puigdemont is considered an enemy of the state for many Spaniards, any deal that could benefit him is politically toxic.Tens of thousands of people rallied in downtown Barcelona on Oct. 8 against a possible amnesty in a sign of the danger that Sánchez runs.An amnesty "would be shameful because Spain can’t be governed by people who want to split from the country,” said 23-year-old Pablo Seco, an aeronautical engineer who attended the rally.For Montserrat Nebrera, professor of constitutional law at the International University of Catalonia, the negotiations between Sánchez and the separatist leaders are a “hall of mirrors” wherein both sides try to appear that they have the upper hand, when in reality they need one another.“Pedro Sánchez needs the amnesty law to pass so he can get the four votes he is lacking,” Nebrera told the AP. “The secessionists, however, also need to show their people that they are not only interested in saving the necks of their leaders ... but also of the people who disobeyed authorities or damaged public property and whose punishments, while not huge, have greatly complicated their lives.”Spain’s conservative party, which lost a bid to form a government last month, is already bashing Sánchez for what it describes as selling Spain out to stay in power. Former Socialist prime minister Felipe González has also said that the amnesty is not merited.Spain granted a sweeping amnesty during its transition back to democracy following the death of dictator Francisco Franco in 1975. But legal experts are divided over the constitutionality of an amnesty for the Catalan separatists.The pro-independence Catalan organization Omnium Cultural says that an amnesty should benefit some 4,400 more people, mostly minor officials and ordinary citizens who either helped to organize an illegal 2017 referendum or participated, like Calvo, in protests that turned ugly.But Omnium and the two Catalan separatist parties say they want much more than just a clean slate for people in trouble with the law: they want the terms of the amnesty to establish a legal pretext for Catalonia eventually holding a binding, authorized referendum on independence.“For us, the amnesty is not the solution to the conflict, it is the starting point from which the conflict can begin to be resolved,” said Xavier Antich, president of Omnium Cultural.That going-for-broke position, however, may run the risk of wrecking the whole operation, as well as leaving people like Calvo in the lurch.“They have already tried to have a referendum authorized and it has not worked,” Calvo said. “So I believe that trying to force something that we know isn’t going to happen is useless and could derail the amnesty talks.”___Videojournalist Hernán Muñoz contributed to this report.。 小寒节气我国依然以偏暖格局开场,但一股冷空气已经蓄势待发,今天(1月6日)至9日将带来大范围降温,黄淮至江南局地降温超8℃以上,气温波动明显,公众需注意气温变化,及时添衣防感冒。此外,7日起南方雨雪天气也将增多,降水相态复杂,外出需注意交通安全,谨防道路湿滑。一股冷空气蓄势待发 今夜起至9日中东部陆续迎降温近期由于冷空气活动较少且势力较弱,我国大部地区气温比常年同期略偏高。昨天最高气温10℃线北抬至河北南部,淮河以南多地超15℃,天气暖得堪比常年3月。不过一股冷空气已经蓄势待发,今夜至9日,受冷空气影响:西南地区和中东部大部将陆续出现4℃至6℃降温,东北地区、江汉、江南西部、贵州等局地降温幅度在8℃以上,内蒙古中东部、华北北部、东北地区南部等地还将伴有4~6级风。

二 | 这股冷空气的到来将打破目前偏暖的局面,降温过后,8日至9日前后我国多地气温将迎入冬后新低。

三 | 9日最高气温10℃线会大幅南撤到浙江南部至广西北部一带,中东部大部地区气温将转为偏低。其中黄淮到江南一带气温波动最明显,昨天最高气温还在15℃上下,但到了9日,上述地区气温跌至谷底,基本不足5℃。大城市中,长沙今天最高气温可达17℃,较常年同期偏高近10℃,但9日最高气温将暴跌至2℃,创今年立冬后新低,降幅达到15℃,降温如换季,公众需及时添衣保暖。明起南方雨雪天气发展增多 最强时段为8日受冷空气影响,我国雨雪天气也将增多。今天夜间至9日,青藏高原东部、西南地区和江南西部有一次雨雪天气过程,青海南部、西藏东部和川西高原有小到中雪,局地大雪,四川南部、云南北部、贵州中北部、重庆东部、湖北西部和湖南西部有小雨转雨夹雪或雪,其中四川南部、云南西北部和东北部、贵州北部、湖北西南部、湖南西北部等地的部分地区有中到大雪,局地暴雪,贵州中北部、湖北西南部、湖南西部等地局地有冻雨。中央气象台预计,今天:内蒙古中东部、黑龙江大部、新疆伊犁河谷和南疆盆地、西藏西部和东部、青海南部、川西高原北部、山东半岛北部等地部分地区有小到中雪或雨夹雪,其中,新疆南疆西部山区、西藏西部等地部分地区有大雪,局地暴雪。西藏东南部、湖北西南部、重庆大部、贵州西北部、云南东北部、台湾岛东部等地部分地区有小雨。明天:随着南支槽继续东移,与南下的冷空气配合,西南地区的降水将迅速发展增多并逐渐东扩至江南西部。预计,内蒙古东部、黑龙江大部、吉林大部、新疆北疆北部和伊犁河谷、西藏东部和南部、青海中南部、甘肃南部、川西高原、湖南西北部、贵州东部、山东半岛北部等地部分地区有小到中雪或雨夹雪,其中,西藏东部、川西高原北部等地部分地区有大雪。西藏东南部、甘肃南部、湖北西南部、湖南北部、四川盆地、重庆、贵州中西部、云南东北部、台湾岛东部等地部分地区有小雨。后天:内蒙古中东部、黑龙江大部、吉林大部、辽宁北部、新疆北部、西藏东部、青海东部、甘肃河西、川西高原北部等地部分地区有小到中雪或雨夹雪,其中,新疆沿天山地区和伊犁河谷、西藏东部、川西高原北部等地部分地区有大雪,新疆伊犁河谷等地局地暴雪。贵州西部有冻雨。西藏东南部、湖北南部、湖南、四川、云南大部、广西西北部、广东南部、海南岛、台湾岛等地部分地区有小到中雨。明起三天,我国南方多地将迎一轮雨雪天气过程,雨雪相态较为复杂,最强雨雪时段将出现在8日。公众需关注预警预报信息,谨防道路湿滑和能见度降低对交通的不利影响。

四 | 来源: 中国天气网。
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