A | JOHANNESBURG -- South African officials are hoping that the gradual recovery of one of the country's biggest coal-fired power stations will reduce crippling power blackouts.At least two units at the Kusile power station have been restored in the last three weeks, adding 1,600 megawatts to the national grid and reducing the rolling power blackouts, which can last up to 12 hours a day.The units have been out of service since they broke down in October last year, contributing significantly to the blackouts, known in South Africa as loadshedding.The two units were restored nearly two months ahead of schedule and two more are expected to be brought back online before the end of the year, officials said.While the full recovery of the power station is unlikely to end all power blackouts, it is seen as a significant step toward resolving the power crisis that has severely affected households and the country’s economy.The Kusile power station has six generating units capable of producing 800 megawatts each, making it one of the biggest coal-fired power stations in the world with a total capacity of 4,800 megawatts of electricity.“Both units are adding 1,600 megawatts back into the grid, thereby improving the available generation capacity. This signifies that Eskom is on the right path to reducing and ultimately ending loadshedding,” Daphne Mokwena, spokesperson for power utility Eskom, said Tuesday.The government remains under pressure to bring Kusile and another power station, Medupi, up to full operation. Construction delays, cost overruns and allegations of corruption have besieged both power stations since their construction began in 2007.South Africa has committed to a transition from a heavy reliance on coal for electricity generation to cleaner sources including solar, wind and battery storage. The transition has secured funding pledges of up to $8.5 billion from France, the U.K, Germany, the U.S. and the European Union.However, the country's electricity crisis has led the government to consider prolonging the lifespan of its aging power stations.The country has also launched a program to secure additional electricity from neighboring countries.。 据日本共同社16日报道，日本政府地震调查小组15日警告称，未来三十年内南海海槽发生“特大地震”（即8级及以上）的概率已经提升至80%。
B | 其中，北海道的根室市沿岸及宫城县沿岸发生“特大地震”的可能性更高。这是日本时隔不到半年再发“特大地震”警告。去年8月，日本宫崎县附近海域发生7.1级地震后，由于担心影响附近的南海海槽，日本气象厅发布了有史以来的首个巨大地震警报。专家团队预计，若日本南海海槽再发生大地震，导致的伤亡人数最高将超过30万。（报道链接：日本首次发布“巨大地震警报”，首相取消外访行程）去年8月，宫崎县附近海域发生7.1级地震后，一处坍塌的房屋 日本地震专家每年一月都会重新计算发生特大地震的概率，自2018年至今，这一概率一直维持在70%-80%之间。据《朝日新闻》报道，南海海槽发生“特大地震”的概率以每年不到1%的幅度逐年递增，今年调查小组推算出的概率为75%-82%，四舍五入后得出了“80%”这个数字。日本政府地震调查小组组长平田直志（音译）在新闻发布会上解释称，这一概率意味着该国任何时候发生地震都不足为奇，“我们希望民众能时刻准备好。”平田直志称，自2024年1月日本能登半岛发生6.0级地震以来，该国已经发生过多次震级在6级以上的地震。
C | “大家需要提高警惕，地壳活动可能将持续活跃一段时间。”来自日本政府地震调查研究推进本部的数据显示，过去1400年间，南海海槽每隔100到200年就会发生一次“特大地震”，最近一次发生在1946年，当时整个日本都有震感。不过，也有地震学家对“日本政府地震调查小组定期发布地震概率预测”的做法表示反对。“地震不会按照周期性发生，地震的发生是不可预测的。”东京大学名誉教授、地震学家罗伯特·盖勒批评称，这种根据过往地震频率预测未来地震的做法毫无意义。红星新闻记者 黎谨睿编辑 杨珒 责编 魏孔明（下载红星新闻，报料有奖！）。
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